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Sustained Iranian Attacks Reshape Gulf Security
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY | INTELLIGENCE WINDOW: 11 Mar 2026 – 12 Mar 2026
- Since 28 February, Iran has conducted missile and attack drone strikes against targets in Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, and Oman in response to joint US and Israeli airstrikes inside Iran. The attacks have continued into 12 March.
- The threat of attacks against US and Israeli-linked banks and economic centres issued by the Iranian KACHQ on 11 March is highly likely to increase the risk profile of offices, facilities, and other assets associated with major US and Israeli-linked companies across the region. The threat reportedly triggered major firms, including Citi, Deloitte, PwC and Standard Chartered, to evacuate or shut their Dubai, UAE, offices on 11 March.
- As of 12 March, the airspace remains closed in Kuwait and Bahrain. Qatar has permitted limited repatriation flights. The UAE’s airspace has restricted access by way of Emergency Security Control of Air Traffic (ESCAT) zones; Saudi Arabia’s airspace has a partial closure affecting the area bordering Iraq and the Persian Gulf. Oman and Jordan’s airspaces remain open.
- Iran has escalated strikes against civilian targets, economic assets and critical national infrastructure. Attacks have resulted in material damage at airports, ports, government offices, oil and gas infrastructure and locations hosting US military personnel.
- The rate of Iranian ballistic missiles fired at the Gulf states has decreased since 28 February. However, attack drone use has remained high, with the threat of attack drone strikes likely to remain high in the short-to-medium term. Heavy air defence interceptor usage is likely reducing stockpiles in Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, and the UAE, potentially forcing air defences to prioritise targets and increasing the likelihood of successful penetrations.
- In Dubai, UAE, 11-12 March attack drones impacts were recorded in the Al Bada’a area and onto the façade of a building on Sheikh Zayed Road, causing no injuries. An attack drone also hit the Address Creek Harbour hotel, sparking a fire that was brought under control and causing no injuries.
- On 11 March, Iranian drone strikes hit fuel tanks in Salalah, Oman, setting off a large blaze. Omani authorities said there were no injuries.
- In Kuwait on 12 March, an attack drone strike injured at least two people after impacting a residential building in Mangaf, southern Kuwait.
Middle East Conflict: Latest Intelligence & Travel Advice
To support planning, we are updating our Middle East travel advice daily with guidance from our intelligence team on airspace openings and closures, flight operations, and escalating risks impacting movement.
Situation Update: Iran Continues Missile and Drone Attacks Across the Gulf
On 28 February, Iran initiated ballistic missile and attack drone strikes targeting Israel and US military facilities and sites known to host US military personnel across the Middle East, in response to joint US and Israeli airstrikes inside Iran. The targeting pattern of Iranian strikes has evolved to increasingly include civilian-profile targets such as hotels, international airports, and critical national infrastructure. Iranian strikes have continued into 12 March.
On 11 March, a spokesman for the Khatam al-Anbiya Headquarters (KACHQ, the unified command HQ of the Iranian Armed Forces) declared that US and/or Israel-linked “economic centres and banks” will now be targeted, warning that “people of the region should not be within a one-kilometre radius of banks”. Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC)-affiliated media released a list of offices and infrastructure linked to the US and Israel, which included companies such as Google, Microsoft, Palantir, IBM, Nvidia, and Oracle.
As of 12 March, there is a total closure of airspace in Kuwait and Bahrain. The UAE’s airspace has restricted access by way of Emergency Security Control of Air Traffic (ESCAT) zones. Qatar has suspended flights and closed its airspace to most commercial traffic, with only heavily limited repatriation flights permitted. Saudi Arabia’s airspace has a partial closure affecting the area bordering Iraq and the Persian Gulf. Oman’s airspace remains open, with Muscat becoming the preferred airport among airlines in the region wishing to perform relief flights. Jordan’s airspace remains open, but aircraft are advised to carry extra fuel in case of delays.
Saudi Arabia
Overnight 11-12 March, Saudi Arabia reported interceptions of three ballistic missiles targeting Prince Sultan Air Base near Al-Kharj. Saudi air defences subsequently intercepted 18 attack drones over the country’s eastern region. Another drone was subsequently intercepted as it headed for the Shaybah oil field in the Empty Quarter; three more were intercepted in the eastern region; another was intercepted heading towards the Diplomatic Quarter in Riyadh; and two more were intercepted heading towards the Shaybah oil field. Iranian media have reported that the country targeted the US embassy in Riyadh.
There have been at least two deaths and 12 injuries in Saudi Arabia as of 12:30 UTC on 12 March.
As of 12 March, Saudi Arabia’s airspace has a partial closure affecting the area bordering Iraq and the Persian Gulf; however, this does not affect commercial flights departing major Saudi airports.
Kuwait
Overnight 11-12 March, Kuwait activated air defences against another wave of Iranian attacks, later stating air defences intercepted an unspecified number of ballistic missiles and attack drones. According to Iranian state media, IRGC strikes targeted Ali al-Salem Air Base. Interceptions continued on the morning of 12 March, with one attack drone strike injuring at least two people after impacting a residential building in Mangaf, southern Kuwait. The building was subsequently evacuated, and the fire was extinguished. Drone debris damaged six overhead power transmission lines, causing a temporary power outage in parts of the country. Kuwait’s civil defence agency says it has prepared public shelters with essential supplies and services for long-term use if necessary.
At least six people have been killed, and dozens have been injured in Kuwait, as of 12:30 UTC on 12 March.
As of 12 March, the airspace remains closed in Kuwait.
Bahrain
Air raid alerts were activated overnight 11-12 March, with explosions subsequently heard. Several Iranian attack drones were reportedly intercepted over the country’s airspace. Iranian strikes reportedly targeted fuel tanks in Muharraq Governorate, starting a large fire. According to Bahrain’s Interior Ministry, the strikes led to the closure of Rayya Road next to Bahrain International Airport (BAH / OBBI), with authorities urging residents in Al Hidd, Arad, Galali and Samaheej in the Muharraq region to remain in their homes and to close windows and ventilation openings. The fire has subsequently been brought under control. Bahraini authorities have reportedly brought in security forces from Jordan to quell pro-Iranian protests; the first time since the Arab Spring that Bahrain has called in foreign forces to deal with unrest.
Bahrain reports arrests of six more people for allegedly posting videos showing the aftermath of Iranian strikes. Another four nationals were arrested after they allegedly sent information to Iran.
At least two people have been killed, and dozens have been injured in Bahrain, as of 12:30 UTC on 12 March.
As of 12 March, the airspace remains closed in Bahrain.
Qatar
On 12 March, Qatar’s government issued a shelter-in-place order, before its armed forces intercepted a ballistic missile attack. On 11 March, following the threats issued by Iran against US and Israeli-linked banks and other economic centres, HSBC stated that it would close its Qatar branches until further notice.
At least 16 people have been injured in Qatar, as of 12:30 UTC on 12 March.
As of 12 March, the airspace remains heavily restricted in Qatar. On 6 March, the Qatar Civil Aviation Authority announced flights would operate through “designated navigational contingency routes with limited operational capacity” in coordination with the Qatari armed forces. Qatar Airways stated that it will operate heavily limited repatriation flights from Doha Airport (DOH).
UAE
The UAE came under particularly heavy attack overnight 11-12 March, with authorities stating that explosions heard were caused by interceptions. In Dubai, attack drone impacts were recorded in the Al Bada’a area and onto the façade of a building on Sheikh Zayed Road, causing no injuries. An attack drone also hit the Address Creek Harbour hotel, sparking a fire that was brought under control and causing no injuries.
Following the threats issued by Iran against US and Israeli-linked banks and other economic centres, Citibank has said it would close its UAE branches and financial centres through 14 March as a precaution. Moreover, major firms including Citi, Deloitte, PwC and Standard Chartered have reportedly evacuated or shut their Dubai offices.
At least six people have been killed and 131 injured in the UAE, as of 12:30 UTC on 12 March.
On 12 March, the Australian government announced an order for the departure of non-essential Australian officials posted to the UAE due to the deteriorating security situation.
As of 12 March, the UAE’s airspace has restricted access by way of Emergency Security Control of Air Traffic (ESCAT) zones.
Oman
On 11 March, Iranian drone strikes hit fuel tanks in Salalah, setting off a large blaze. Omani authorities said there were no injuries, but firefighting teams, the military and private companies were still working to contain the fire hours later. Authorities have advised people near the site to wear masks and close windows, but have said that the air quality across the rest of Salalah remains within safe limits. The transportation minister said operations at Salalah seaport were expected to return to normal within two or three days. Oman has reportedly evacuated all vessels from the Mina Al Fahal oil export terminal in Muscat as a precaution.
At least one person has been killed and five injured in Oman, as of 12:30 UTC on 12 March.
Oman is currently assessed to have a lower conflict-related risk profile compared to the neighbouring United Arab Emirates (UAE), and the Omani airspace remains open. As a result, Oman is being used by airlines and international governments as a base for repatriation flights. There is considerably elevated demand for flights running from Oman.
As of 12 March, the airspace remains open in Oman.
Regional Advisory
Further Iranian strikes remain highly likely in the near term. While US military installations likely remain the highest priority target, Iranian strikes will also likely continue targeting civilian-profile sites. Iran has further escalated strikes against civilian-profile targets and economic interests, airports, including oil and gas infrastructure and desalination facilities. The Gulf States are highly dependent on desalination for drinking water, domestic use, and industrial purposes. Sustained attacks on desalination facilities are likely to have significant impacts on national water security.
The threat of attacks against US and Israeli-linked companies issued by the KACHQ on 11 March is highly likely to increase the risk profile of offices, facilities, and other assets associated with major US and Israeli-linked companies across the region. The threat reportedly triggered major firms, including Citi, Deloitte, PwC and Standard Chartered, to evacuate or shut their Dubai, UAE, offices on 11 March. Previously, on 1 March, Iranian attack drones caused damage to three Amazon Web Services (AWS) facilities in the UAE and Bahrain.
While interception rates overall remain high, there have been numerous recorded cases of projectiles penetrating air defences. There is also a high risk of secondary impacts, including debris from intercepted threats, further extended airspace closures, maritime traffic interference, and wider transport and commercial disruption across the region.
Reporting indicates that the volume of Iranian ballistic missiles fired at the Gulf states has significantly diminished since 28 February, almost certainly due to expended ballistic missile stockpiles and the destruction of transporter erector launchers (TELs) by US-Israeli strikes. However, attack drone use has remained high, with the threat of attack drone strikes likely to remain high in the short-to-medium term.
Sustained Iranian attack drone and missile strikes are likely to result in critical shortages of air defence interceptors across the region, especially in Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, and the UAE. Critical shortages in air defence interceptors will likely force air defence systems to prioritise targets and increase the likelihood of successful penetrations. Furthermore, Iranian strikes have damaged regional air defence infrastructure, including radar systems critical for early warning, target acquisition, and tracking, likely degrading detection capabilities and reducing reaction times for air defence systems. Russian intelligence sharing with Iran will likely enable Iran to better identify vulnerabilities in regional air defence networks and refine targeting for future strikes.
It is highly advised not to film or distribute footage of strikes, damage or military activity. In the UAE, authorities have warned that publishing or circulating “rumours, false news, or news from unknown sources through social media platforms or other information technology” is illegal, with at least 21 people being arrested so far, including a British tourist who allegedly filmed missile strikes in Dubai. In Bahrain, at least two individuals have been confirmed as arrested for “filming, live streaming, clipping, and publishing events in a manner constituting a legal violation”. Qatar’s Ministry of Interior warned that gathering at incident sites or photographing and sharing content related to field developments may result in legal accountability, and have arrested at least 313 people of various nationalities for “producing and sharing misleading information”. Omani authorities have stated: “Beware of sharing or publishing any captured photos or videos. They should be shared only with the competent authorities”.

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