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Gulf States: Situation & Travel Update

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Sustained Iranian Attacks Reshape Gulf Security

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY | INTELLIGENCE WINDOW: 07 Apr 2026 – 08 Apr 2026

  •  Since 28 February, Iran has conducted missile and attack drone strikes against targets in Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, and Oman in response to joint US and Israeli airstrikes inside Iran.
  • On the evening of 7 April, US and Iranian officials agreed to a two-week ceasefire, in a deal brokered by Pakistani officials. The agreement was announced shortly before the deadline set by US President Donald Trump. The deal involves an immediate cessation of hostilities between the US, Israel, and Iran.
  • Despite the deal, several Iranian attacks on Gulf states have been recorded on 7-8 April. This is likely due to the breakdown of command and control in Iran caused by US and Israeli strikes.
  • Late 7 April, vehicular movement was once again suspended along the King Fahd Causeway connecting Saudi Arabia to Bahrain due to a missile threat, before reopening early 8 April.
  • As of 8 April, the airspace remains closed in Kuwait; Bahrain’s airspace is effectively closed with very limited exceptions; Qatari airspace is mostly closed but a limited number of Qatar Airways flights continue to operate with special permission; the UAE’s airspace has restricted access by way of Emergency Security Control of Air Traffic (ESCAT) zones; and Saudi Arabia, Oman and Jordan’s airspaces are open.

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On 28 February, Iran initiated ballistic missile and attack drone strikes targeting Israel and US military facilities and sites known to host US military personnel across the Middle East, in response to joint US and Israeli airstrikes inside Iran. The targeting pattern of Iranian strikes has evolved to increasingly include civilian-profile targets such as hotels, international airports, and critical national infrastructure.

On 7 April, less than two hours before the deadline 00:00 UTC 8 April deadline, US President Donald Trump agreed to a two-week ceasefire with Iran. According to Iranian state news, the ceasefire is dependent on a 10-point plan, including:

  1. Complete cessation of the war on Iraq, Lebanon, and Yemen
  2. Complete and permanent cessation of the war on Iran with no time limit
  3. Ending all conflicts in the region in their entirety
  4. Reopening the Strait of Hormuz
  5. Establishing a protocol and conditions to ensure freedom and security of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz
  6. Full payment of compensation for reconstruction costs to Iran
  7. Full commitment to lifting sanctions on Iran
  8. Release of Iranian funds and frozen assets held by the United States
  9. Iran fully commits to not seeking possession of any nuclear weapons
  10. Immediate ceasefire takes effect on all fronts immediately upon approval of the above conditions

There have already been accusations of ceasefire violations on 8 April. Kuwaiti authorities reported that an “intense wave” of “hostile Iranian attacks” consisting of 28 attack drones targeted its oil installations and power stations. Iranian state media also reported a fire at an oil refinery on Iran’s Lavan Island following an alleged “attack by enemies”. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) subsequently declared that it is adhering to the ceasefire terms, with its “hands on the trigger” and ready to respond to “every aggression with a higher level.

As of 8 April, there is a total closure of airspace in Kuwait. Bahraini airspace is closed with very limited exceptions. The UAE’s airspace has restricted access by way of Emergency Security Control of Air Traffic (ESCAT) zones. In Qatar, while the airspace is closed to almost all commercial flights, Qatar Airways flights continue to operate with special permission. Jordan, Saudi Arabia, and Oman’s airspaces remain open.

Late 7 April, vehicular movement was again suspended along the King Fahd Causeway connecting Saudi Arabia to Bahrain due to a missile threat, before reopening early 8 April. Overnight 7-8 April, Saudi Arabia reported interceptions of five ballistic missiles targeting unspecified areas of its Eastern Province. Warning alerts were subsequently activated for al-Kharj, Riyadh, Eastern Province, Yanbu, and Northern Borders Province.

At least two people have been killed and 22 injured in Saudi Arabia, as of 09:45 UTC on 7 April.

As of 8 April, Saudi Arabia’s airspace is open.

Overnight 7-8 April, a curfew was imposed, with all commercial activities and shops ordered to close across Kuwait from 00:00 to 06:00 AST. Air defences were activated in response to Iranian ballistic missiles and attack drones. On 8 April, after the implementation of a ceasefire, Kuwait’s military stated that an “intense wave” of “hostile Iranian attacks” consisting of 28 attack drones targeted its oil installations and power stations. The attack reportedly resulted in “significant material damage” to oil infrastructure facilities, power plants, and water desalination plants.

At least seven people have been killed, and dozens have been injured in Kuwait, as of 09:45 UTC on 7 April.

As of 8 April, the airspace remains closed in Kuwait.

Late 7 April, vehicular movement was once again suspended along the King Fahd Causeway connecting Saudi Arabia to Bahrain due to a missile threat, before reopening early 8 April. Overnight 7-8 April, Bahrain activated its air defences. Two people were reportedly injured, and several houses were damaged due to debris from an interception of an attack drone in Sitra. On 8 April, Bahrain’s military stated that it intercepted six missiles and 31 drones in the past 24 hours.

At least three people have been killed, and dozens have been injured in Bahrain, as of 09:45 UTC on 7 April.

As of 8 April, the Bahraini airspace is closed with very limited exceptions. Passengers wishing to depart the region have been able to depart via King Fahd International Airport (DMM) in Dammam, Saudi Arabia, depending on the operational status of the airport (with operations being frequently temporarily suspended for short periods of time), the King Fahd Causeway, and shelter-in-place advisories.

Overnight 7-8 April, Qatar activated its air defences, intercepting a ballistic missile. At least four people were reportedly injured after debris hit a house in the Muraikh neighbourhood near Doha.

At least 16 people have been injured in Qatar, as of 09:45 UTC on 7 April.

As of 8 April, while the airspace is closed to almost all commercial flights, Qatar Airways flights continue to operate several international routes with special permission.

Overnight 7-8 April, air defences were activated in response to ballistic missiles and attack drones launched from Iran. Authorities reported that crews were responding to a fire at the Habshan gas processing facility in a strike that injured three people. Air defences were reportedly activated again on 8 April, after the ceasefire was implemented.

At least 12 people have been killed and 221 injured in the UAE, as of 09:45 UTC on 7 April.

As of 8 April, the UAE’s airspace has restricted access by way of Emergency Security Control of Air Traffic (ESCAT) zones.

At least three people have been killed and 15 injured in Oman, as of 09:45 UTC on 7 April.

As of 8 April, the airspace remains open in Oman.


The approval of a two-week cessation of hostilities between the US, Israel, and Iran is highly likely to result in an immediate reduction in the volume of Iranian strikes across the region. However, further localised strikes remain possible. Iranian chains of command have been designed to endure decapitation strikes by granting significant freedom to local commanders and units to unilaterally act on pre-determined orders. However, this degree of independence has likely increased the risk of Iranian units continuing to fire missiles and drones despite the agreement of a ceasefire. These attacks will likely be considerably lower in volume and intensity compared to previous attacks outside of ceasefire conditions. US officials will likely tolerate an initial continuation of Iranian strikes, as these are unlikely to penetrate regional air defences.

The likely continuation of drone and missile strikes in the first days of the ceasefires is likely to prevent the resumption of commercial flight operations at key regional hubs. However, regional governments will likely take measures to increase the number of evacuation and repatriation flights if attacks cease or significantly decline.

In the short-term, the situation in the Gulf is highly likely to remain highly unstable. Despite the ceasefire, several key points, including the passage of commercial vessels through the Strait of Hormuz, remain unresolved and will likely be better defined during the two-week truce. Moreover, several potential triggers and unresolved issues remain in place that could rapidly undermine the ceasefire or result in violations. These include Iran’s nuclear programme, Israeli operations against Hezbollah and the potential actions of Iranian proxy forces.

Travellers are strongly advised not to film or distribute footage of strikes, damage, or military activity. Saudi Arabia’s Ministry of Interior has stated that “[p]hotographing or publishing or circulating information related to countering missiles and drones and the locations of their falls exposes you to legal accountability.” In the UAE, authorities have warned that publishing or circulating “rumours, false news, or news from unknown sources through social media platforms or other information technology” is illegal. In Bahrain, several people have been confirmed as arrested for “filming, live streaming, clipping, and publishing events in a manner constituting a legal violation”. Qatar’s Ministry of Interior warned that gathering at incident sites or photographing and sharing content related to field developments may result in legal accountability and has arrested hundreds of people of various nationalities for “producing and sharing misleading information”. Omani authorities have stated: “Beware of sharing or publishing any captured photos or videos. They should be shared only with the competent authorities”.