Ukraine’s War Effort Tested by Global Politics in 2025

Ukraine’s resilience is being severely tested as geopolitical shifts and battlefield setbacks reshape the conflict. From delayed Western aid to Russia’s increasing battlefield momentum, 2025 marks a pivotal year in Ukraine’s fight for sovereignty.

Ukraine faces mounting pressure as Western political dynamics shift, with delays in critical military aid and changing leadership in global powers like the United States. These factors have emboldened Russian advances and strained Ukraine’s ability to defend its territory.

Western military aid has been the backbone of Ukraine’s resistance, providing essential resources for defense and counteroffensives. In 2024, delays in aid caused critical shortages, including gaps in air defense, allowing Russia to target vital infrastructure with precision strikes.

The incoming U.S. administration’s potential pivot away from Ukraine could drastically alter the war’s trajectory. Without robust support from Europe or the U.S., Ukraine may face increasing pressure to make territorial concessions to Moscow.


  • Delayed Western Aid: How delays in U.S. and European support have weakened Ukraine’s defences.
  • Russia’s Renewed Momentum: The strategic advances reshaping the battlefield in Donetsk and beyond.
  • Geopolitical Shifts: The implications of U.S. policy changes under Donald Trump’s second term for Ukraine’s survival.
  • Territorial Concessions: The mounting pressure on Ukraine to negotiate under unfavourable terms.