Uncertainty and Conflict in Bangladesh in 2025

Bangladesh stands at a crossroads in 2025, emerging from a year of significant political upheaval and regional challenges. The removal of Sheikh Hasina in 2024 marked the end of a political era, ushering in a period of transition under a Nobel laureate-led interim government. Amidst this shift, the nation is redefining its political framework, balancing diverse political forces, and addressing complex security concerns.

The worsening conflict in Myanmar is spilling over into Bangladesh, exacerbating border instability. The Cox’s Bazar refugee camps – already a hub for displaced Rohingya communities – are increasingly targeted by recruitment efforts from Burmese armed groups. Drug smuggling and cross-border violence have surged, further straining Bangladesh’s security apparatus.

Uncertainty and Conflict in Bangladesh in 2025 Solace Global report mock up

The political vacuum left by Hasina’s fall has emboldened militant groups and ethnic factions. Smaller Islamist parties, once suppressed by the Awami League, are leveraging the turmoil to increase their presence and influence. The Chattogram Hill Tracts and the Myanmar border have become hotspots for unrest, presenting significant challenges to the interim government’s authority.


  • Bangladesh’s Political Crisis: How the interim government is managing dissent and calls for elections.
  • Regional Conflict Spillover: The impact of Myanmar’s unrest on Bangladesh’s borders and refugee camps.
  • Militant Resurgence: The growing influence of opposition parties and Islamist groups.
  • Outlook for 2025: Scenarios for political reforms, elections, and regional stability.