Week 21 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot
Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents
24-27 May 18: Cyclone Mekunu. Cyclone Mekunu crossed between Socotra and Salalah during 24-27 May. The storm resulted in extreme weather conditions, making landfall at Salalah as a category three storm. Disruption to air travel was widespread, and significant flooding was also reported, severely limiting land travel. At least 50 people were reported missing or killed. 30 May 18: Suspicious Approach near Merca, Somalia. A merchant vessel at 01°38’N, 044°42’E reported an approach by six skiffs carrying an unspecified number of persons onboard. No attempted boarding was reported, and the vessel and crew remain safe.Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents
13 April 18: – LATE REPORT – Stores Stolen from Vessel at Apapa Port, Nigeria. Four men aboard a skiff boarded a container ship anchored at 06°26’N 003°24’E. Crew members raised the alarm and the robbers fled. Upon searching, bosun stores lock was found to be broken, and stores were missing. 22 May 18: Attempted Boarding Against Tanker 130 NM South of Lome, Togo. Seven pirates in a skiff attempted to board a drifting tanker at 03°46’N 001°30’E. They aborted their attempt when the alarm was raised. The tanker’s master reported a potential mothership near their location. 23 April 18: Attempted Robbery in Lagos. A lone intruder was reported on the deck on a merchant vessel at 06°16’N 003°12’E. The intruder jumped overboard when challenged. 25 May 18: Tanker boarded near Lagos, Nigeria. Two men boarded a tanker at 06°18’N 003°20’E. They fled empty handed when the alarm was raised. 26 May 18: Robbery from Ro-Ro Vessel in Lagos, Nigeria. Seven men boarded a Ro-Ro vessel berthed at 06°27’N 003°22’E. The duty crewman was tied up and his radio taken. The robbers then broke into the paint store and escaped with ship’s properties. Crew & vessel reported safe.South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents
05 May 18: – LATE REPORT – Theft at Anchor near Bintan Island, Indonesia. Stores were discovered missing from a tanker anchored at 01°24’N, 104°36’E. The theft was discovered during routine emergency drills. 15 May 18: Theft at Anchor Reported in Uban, Indonesia. Stores were discovered missing from a product tanker anchored at 01°06’N, 104°11’E. The theft was discovered during routine rounds.Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 21 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 21 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.
Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 21
Headlines From This Week
- Bombay Bhel Bombing – At least 15 people were wounded, three critically, when an improvised explosive device was detonated in an Indian restaurant in Mississauga, Canada, in the evening of 24 May. Two males, believed to have built and detonated the device, remain wanted by police. No links to terror or criminal groups has yet been confirmed, however the city has experienced a significant rise in hate crimes over the past two years.
- Sandinista Clashes in Leon – Members of Nicaraguan Sandinista groups clashed with students staging a sit-in protest in Leon. At least 59 people were reported wounded during the violence. This marked the most recent development in the ongoing violence between supporters of the Ortega regime and a diverse mix of anti-government groups which has stretched on since mid-April. A Church-sponsored dialogue between the two sides also broke down on 24 May; violence and unrest appear likely to continue.
- Armed Clashes and Kidnappings in Nigeria – Nigeria experienced a series of armed clashes over the past week, with unidentified gunmen clashing with security forces and attacking civilians in both Logo and Kaduna. In addition, on 20 May, at least 47 people were reported kidnapped on the highway between Birnin-Gwari and Kano. Despite Nigeria’s ongoing issues with the Boko Haram insurgency, these attacks have occurred in regions in which the group is not generally active. It appears likely that the incidents are the result of tribal tensions caused by friction between nomadic groups and settled communities.
- Singapore Summit Cancelled – US President Trump withdrew from the proposed summit with North Korea’s Kim Jong Un, scheduled to be held in Singapore on 12 June. The withdrawal appears to have been due to recent disclosures that China and North Korea have been engaged in significant talks prior to the summit, potentially in order to establish a unified stance against the US-South Korean alliance. This announcement followed North Korea’s highly publicised demolition of part of its nuclear test facility, although the destruction was not overseen by weapons experts.
- Indian Ocean Cyclones – The Indian Ocean has experienced two significant cyclones during the last week, with Mekuna presently headed north for Salalah on the Omani coast, whilst Sagar struck Djibouti on 19 May, having moved through the Gulf of Aden. These storms have caused significant disruption to air and maritime traffic across the region, with Salalah airport remaining closed since 24 May. Cyclone Sagar’s landfall in Somaliland and Djibouti led to widespread damage and over 50 confirmed deaths, due primarily to widespread flash flooding.
What To Look Out For Next Week
- Anti-Macron Protests – Protests against French President Emmanuel Macron’s policies are due to be held across a number of major cities on 26 May. The protests are being carried out by a loose coalition of opposition and industry groups opposed to Macron’s sweeping reforms to state industries and labour policy. Protests related to this movement have previously turned violent, and police may use forceful measures to restore order.
- AfD Protests – The German far-right Alternative fur Deutschland party is scheduled to hold a demonstration in Berlin on 27 May. Anti-fascist groups intend to launch counter-protests with several thousand people, and 2,000 police officers have been assigned to secure the protests. The AfD are due to rally at Berlin central station at midday, before marching to the Brandenburg Gate. With such large crowds expected, and an array of disparate groups participating, isolated instances of violence are likely, despite the large police presence. Widespread violence, however, remains unlikely. Despite this, travellers are advised to avoid the area if possible.
- Colombian Presidential Elections – The first round of the Colombian presidential election is due to take place on 27 May. If no single candidate wins an out-right majority, a second round will be held on 17 June. At present, of the six candidates contesting the vote, Ivan Duque is leading with 35 per cent in most polls, 10 per cent ahead of his closest rival. It appears unlikely, however, that he will secure a first-round win. In this case, the second-round outcome is less certain, as it remains unclear how those who supported discarded candidates in the first round will vote.
- Armenian Republic Day – Armenia will celebrate Republic Day on 28 May, an event typically marked with fireworks, concerts, and parades to celebrate the country’s founding in 1918. The event this year is likely to lead to heightened levels of disruption as both the centenary of the nation’s foundation, and also due to the recent bout of political unrest, which essentially led to a bloodless revolution. Although unrest appears to have significantly reduced, there remains a possibility that violence may occur among large groups of people celebrating under the influence of alcohol.
- French Open – The French Open tennis tournament is due to begin on 27 May and continue until 10 July. The event is held in the Stade Roland-Garros in Paris and is likely to lead to travel disruption throughout the surrounding area due to an influx of spectators. Enhanced security measures likely to be deployed to any significant sporting event.
Significant Dates and Events
- 26 May – Iceland – Municipal Elections
- 25-27 May – Monaco – Formula One weekend
- 26 May – Ukraine – UEFA Champion’s League Final, Kiev
- 26 May – Georgia – Day of First Republic
- 26 May – Italy – Air and rail workers to strike in Milan
- 26 May – Albania – Anti-government protests due in Tirana
- 26 May – Madagascar – Pro-government rallies planned in Antananarivo
- 28 May – Azerbaijan – Republic Day
- 28 May – Ethiopia – Downfall of the Derg – national holiday
- 28 May – USA – Memorial Day
- 29 May – Indonesia – Buddha’s birthday
- 29 May – Malaysia – Wesak Day
- 29 May – Nigeria – Democracy Day
- 30 May – Anguilla – Anguilla national day
- 30 May – Trinidad and Tobago – Indian Arrival Day, national holiday
- 30–31 May – Greece – Bus workers to strike in Athens
- 30 May – Nicaragua – “Mother’s of April” group seek to march in Managua
- 31 May – Brunei – Armed Forces Day
- 31 May – Togo – Opposition groups plan sit-ins in Lome
- 31 May – Italy – Diamond League athletics to be hosted in Rome
- 01 June – Bahamas – Labour Day
- 01 June – Indonesia – Pancasila Day
- 01 June – Kenya – Madaraka Day
- 01 June – Samoa – Independence Day
- 02 June – Brunei – Nuzul Al-Quran
- 02 June – Italy – Republic Day
- 04 June – Hong Kong – Tiananmen vigil to be held in Victoria Park
- 04 June – Mexico – Teaching union to launch indefinite strike
Week 20 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot
Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents
18-19 May 18: Tropical Storm Sagar. Tropical storm Sagar moved west across the Gulf of Aden, causing severe sea conditions, before making landfall near Djibouti and Somalia. The official toll has not been confirmed, however several dozen are likely to have been killed across Yemen, Somalia, and Djibouti. Economic difficulties resulting from the storm may result in an increase in pirate activity. “Operation Red Thunder”. The Saudi-led coalition operating in Yemen is presently conducting Operation Red Thunder, a concerted effort to seize control of Al Hudaydah from the Houthi rebels. It is possible that the Houthi may seek to target Saudi and coalition shipping in response to this offensive.Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents
19 May 18: Crew Kidnapped near Bonny, Nigeria. An offshore supply vessel was attacked in position 03°54’N 006°42’E, in Okwori field. The attackers destroyed communications equipment and stole crew possessions. Four crew members remain missing, remaining crew unharmed. 19 May 18: Attempted Boarding, Lagos Anchorage. Seven persons sought to board a bulk carrier anchored at 06°26’N 003°23’E, in Lagos Anchorage. Crew members spotted the boarding and raised the alarm. The robbers abandoned their attempted attack. 21 May 18: Attempted Boarding, Lome, Togo. One man sought to board an anchored merchant vessel at 03°46’N 001°30’E, in Lome. A crew member raised the alarm and the robber fled in a skiff with six others onboard.South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents
Abu Sayyaf Released hostages in Sulu, Philippines. The Abu Sayyaf Islamist group released at least three hostages recently taken in the Sulu region, including two female police officers. It remains unclear if a ransom was paid, or the group submitted to military pressure. 19 May 18: Tanker Boarded near Karimun Kecil, Indonesia. Six men boarded a tanker underway at 01°10’N 103°27’E at the western end of the Singapore Strait. The crew raised the alarm, causing the robbers to flee empty handed. 19 May 18: Theft at Anchor Reported in Merak, Indonesia. Three men carrying knives boarded a merchant vessel anchored at 05°52’S, 106°05’E. A crew member was threatened, whilst the thieves made away with engine room spares.Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 20 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 20 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.
Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 20
Headlines From This Week
- Gaza Unrest – At least 62 people were killed by Israeli Defence Forces (IDF) when violent clashes erupted on the Israel-Gaza border as the relocated US Embassy opened in Jerusalem on 14 July. Tensions were already heightened as Palestinians commemorate ‘Nakba’, or ‘catastrophe’ of 70 years of the Israeli state on the same date. IDF troops have been accused of being overly aggressive towards protesters, with the use of live ammunition. Further clashes are likely throughout Ramadan.
- Terror Attack in France – Two people, including the attacker, were killed after a suspected terror attack in Paris’s Opera district. Several others were injured in the stabbing attack on the evening of 12 May 2018. Islamic State claimed that one of its “soldiers” carried out the attack. The attacker was believed to have been born in Chechnya, a restive, Muslim majority region of Russia, before moving to France.
- Multiple Bombings in Indonesia – On the morning of 13 May, Islamist militants attacked three churches in Surabaya, Indonesia’s second city. A later attack occurred the following morning outside a police station, just south of the city. In total, at least 26 people were killed, including 13 of the suspected bombers; the attackers were reportedly from two families and included children. The attacks have been described as the most coordinated terror events in the country’s history. Indonesian prosecutors are seeking the death sentence for the cleric accused of planning the attacks from jail.
- Korea Complications – This week saw a cooling of relations on the Korean Peninsula. Pyongyang broke off high-level talks with Seoul due to joint US-South Korea military exercises, a speech made by a North Korean defector at the Seoul National Assembly, and the proposal that North Korea could follow the ‘Libya Model’. This proposal by National Security Advisor John Bolton, suggests that denuclearisation and the lifting of sanctions could eventually lead to the overthrow of the North Korean regime as it did in Libya. President Trump has denied this aim but it is clear that Pyongyang is seeking to extract concessions from South Korea and the US.
- Evacuations in Colombia – Tens of thousands of people have been ordered to evacuate their homes after heavy floods at Hidroituango dam on the river Cuaca. Flooding at the partially complete dam, Colombia’s largest hydroelectric project, had already displaced hundreds before evacuation orders were issued. Colombia’s army, police, and disaster management agency have been dispatched to the site in the north-western Antioquia province. At present no casualties have been reported.
What To Look Out For Next Week
- Venezuela Elections – Venezuela is set to go to the polls on 20 May 2018. Elections were initially scheduled for December 2018 but were then moved to 22 April before being pushed back to the 20 May. The incumbent President Maduro is widely expected to win either legitimately or through fraudulent means. Many opposition figures and parties have been barred from running against him, while others have decided to boycott the vote. Many of the populous are expected to abstain from the vote, assisting President Maduro. It is unclear if popular, political unrest will reach the levels seen in Venezuela in 2014 and 2017 as voter apathy is high.
- Africa Day – An annual commemoration of the Organisation of African Unity (OAU) (now the African Union), is set to take place on 25 May. The OAU was founded on 25 May 1963. The day is celebrated with a public holiday in many African nations including Zimbabwe and Ghana. Celebrations may stretch over a number of days in certain locations, travellers should follow local media to understand how they may be impacted by events.
- UEFA Champions League Final – The final of the world’s premier club football competition is set to be held at 1845UTC on 26 May 2018 in Kiev, Ukraine. Liverpool from the United Kingdom and Real Madrid from Spain are set to face each other. Security for the match is set to be tight, with Ukrainian police looking to prevent any potential terror attacks or clashes between fans, as have previously been seen at European competition fixtures this year.
- Constitutional Referendum in Ireland – Irish voters will go to the polls on 25 May 2018 for a proposed amendment to the Irish constitution which would permit the Oireachtas (parliament) to legislate on the legalisation of abortion. At present, the ‘yes’ vote is expected to win with a double-digit lead in recent polls. The two largest parties in Ireland, Fine Gael and Fianna Fail, officially remain neutral but the Fine Gael Prime Minister Leo Varadkar is publicly supporting a ‘yes’ vote.
- Further Rail Disruption in France – Domestic, Eurostar, and Thalys rail services face disruptions on 18-19 May and 23-24 May due to further strikes by French rail workers. Delays and cancellations are to be expected on these days. These are the latest set of strikes which have been ongoing for more than a month. Trains running on high-speed lines (TGVs), the Transilien network (Greater Paris region), TER networks (regional trains), and Intercités (inter-city) networks will all be affected, with only one out of four trains operating on some lines. Additional rail strikes will take place on 28-29 May;2, 3, 7, 8, 12, 13, 17, 18, 22, 23, 27, and 28 June.
Significant Dates and Events
- 19 May – Turkey – Ataturk Commemoration and Youth and Sports Day
- 19-21 May – Judaism – Shavuot begins
- 19 May – United Kingdom – English and Scottish FA Cup Finals
- 19 May – Nicaragua – Opposition Marches Planned
- 20 May – Cameroon – National Day
- 20 May – Christianity – Whit Sunday (Pentecost)
- 20 May – Timor-Leste – Independence Restoration Day
- 20 May – Cambodia – Day of Remembrance
- 21 May – Canada – Victoria Day
- 21 May – Cayman Islands – Discovery Day
- 21 May – Chile – Navy Day
- 21 May – Montenegro – Independence Day
- 22 May – Yemen – National Unity Day
- 23 May – Macedonia – Vlach’s National Day
- 24 May – Belize – Sovereign’s Day
- 24 May – Bulgaria and Macedonia – Saints Cyril and Methodius Day
- 24 May – Ecuador – Battle of Pichincha Day
- 24 May – Eritrea – Independence Day
- 24 May – Barbados – General Election
- 25 May – Argentina – Anniversary of 1810 Revolution
- 25 May – Bermuda – Bermuda Day
- 25 May – Bolivia – Sucre Local Festival
- 25 May – Jordan – Independence Day
- 26 May – Iceland – Municipal Elections
- 25-27 May – Monaco – Formula One weekend
- 26 May – Ukraine – UEFA Champion’s League Final, Kiev
- 26 May – Georgia – Day of First Republic
- 26 May – Italy – Air and rail workers to strike in Milan
- 27 May – Colombia – Presidential Election
- 27 May – 10 June – France – French Open Tennis
Week 19 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot
Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents
12 May 18: Merchant Vessel Attacked near Eritrea. A bulk carrier reported coming under attack at 14°40’N 041°45’E, off the Eritrean coast. Crew and vessel reported safe, the vessel was reportedly carrying grain to the Yemeni port of Saleef. Vessels seeking entry to Yemen are advised to comply with all instructions from UN or Saudi coalition vessels.Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents
08 May 18: Attempted Boarding near Brass, Nigeria. Six persons onboard a skiff attempted to board a merchant vessel at 03°37’N, 006°16’E. The attackers hooked a ladder over the MV’s sides, but were prevented from boarding by hardening measures and evasive manoeuvres. Vessel and crew safe. 11 May 18: Tug with Stolen Cargo Seized, Bonny, Nigeria. Nigerian naval forces reported the seize of a 1,000 tonne barge containing stolen diesel fuel. Six suspected thieves were also detained from aboard the tug boat.South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents
Abu Sayyaf Clashed with Troops in Sulu, Philippines. Philippine troops clashed with suspected members of the Islamist group Abu Sayyaf whilst seeking to recover hostages taken by the group. This marks the most recent attack by the terror organisation which has previously directly targeted seafarers in kidnap-for-ransom attacks.Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 19 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 19 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.
Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 19
Headlines From This Week
- Patel Dam Collapse – At least 49 people have been killed and many more are missing after a dam collapsed in Kenya. Water burst through the banks of the Patel Dam in Kenya’s Rift Valley on the evening of 09 May. So far 41 people have been rescued from the mud and 500 families have been displaced.
- US Withdraws from the Iran Nuclear Deal – On 08 May, President Trump announced that the US would be withdrawing from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), widely referred to as the ‘Iran Nuclear Deal’. The other members of the deal, including the United States’ European allies, have criticised the move and stated their intent to uphold their obligations under the treaty. This is likely to lead to destabilisation in the Middle East. Indeed, overnight on 09 to 10 May, the Iranian military directly targeted Israel Defence Forces (IDF) in the disputed Golan Heights with ‘around 20 missiles’. In response, the IDF launched its most intensive attack on Iranian positions in Syria since the beginning of the civil war in 2011.
- US-North Korea Summit Announced – President Trump announced over twitter that he will be meeting with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un on 12 June in Singapore, the first meeting ever between the leaders of the US and North Korea. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo was in North Korea this week, returning to the United States with three imprisoned Americans, released as a ‘goodwill gesture’ by Pyongyang.
- Ebola Reported in DRC – The World Health Organisation (WHO) has reported a new Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo. 17 fatalities have been attributed to the virus in the northwest of the country, with two confirmed cases. Officials from the WHO and Médecins Sans Frontières (MSF) have been deployed to the region.
- South Africa Mosque Attack – An imam was killed, and two others injured, after three assailants armed with knives and guns attacked a Shia mosque in Verulam, 27km north of Durban on 10 May. The attackers proceeded to set fire to the mosque with a petrol bomb before escaping; at the time of writing, they are still on the run. The reason for the attack is unclear, however, commentators have reported that there has been a rise in anti-Shia rhetoric over the past few years
- Protests in Munich – At least 30,000 people took to the streets of the German city of Munich on 10 May to voice their opposition to a proposed bill which would grant the police sweeping new powers. The rally in Odeonsplatz was one of the largest rallies in Munich for years. The vote on the proposed bill is set to take place on 15 May.
What To Look Out For Next Week
- Ramadan Begins – The Islamic festival of Ramadan is predicted to begin on 15 May, depending on the lunar cycle. The festival involves fasting during daylight hours, with no eating, drinking, or smoking allowed in public areas. In the past, the holy month of Ramadan has seen an increased frequency of Jihadi terror attacks. Travellers to Muslim-majority countries are advised to respect the traditions of the month of Ramadan and prepare for travel disruptions.
- Referendum in Burundi – A constitutional referendum is due to be held in Burundi on 17 May. The proposed changes would reintroduce the role of Prime Minister and reduce the number of Vice-Presidents to one. The proposals would also increase the presidential term from five to seven years and restrict a president to two consecutive terms. Changes would also allow incumbent President Pierre Nkurunziza, in office since 2005, to stand for re-election, despite having already served three terms. The country has seen a political and security crisis since 2015 when Nkurunziza successfully ran for a third term. Violent clashes between the state and opposition supporters have been reported during the campaign period.
- International Day Against Homophobia, Transphobia, and Biphobia – 17 May marks the International Day against homophobia. It is a major event for pro-LGBTQI campaigners, commemorating a 1990 decision by the World Health Organisation to declassify homosexuality as a mental disorder. Events are planned in countries around the world. For more see this link – https://dayagainsthomophobia.org/events-by-country/.
- General Strike in Guinea – Opposition parties delayed a planned general strike from 09 May until 14 May. Protesters are calling for the government to release opposition members from prison and are also rallying to denounce the results of local elections in February. Travellers in Guinea, and the capital city Conakry in particular, should expect travel disruption and should avoid all large gatherings as violent clashes between security forces and protesters may occur.
- Opposition March in Poland – The Civic Platform opposition party and other activist groups are set to rally in Warsaw on 12 May. Protesters are set to gather at the Rondo de Gaulle from 1300hrs local time. Exact participant numbers are unclear, but thousands may attend to voice support for shared European values and to oppose the policies of the ruling Law and Justice Party. Travellers can expect localised travel disruption and heightened security measures.
Significant Dates and Events
- 11-13 May – Spain – Formula One weekend in Barcelona
- 12 May – Timor-Leste – General election
- 12 May – Georgia – St Andrew’s Day
- 12 May – Iraq – National Elections
- 12-14 May – France – Air traffic controllers at Marseille Airport to go on strike
- 12-13 May – Israel – Yom Yerushalayim (Jerusalem Day)
- 13-15 May – Cambodia – King Sihamoni’s Birthday
- 14 May – Israel – New US Embassy in Israel to open in Jerusalem
- 14 May – Philippines – Local and Regional Elections
- 14 May – Liberia – National Unification Day
- 14 May – Malawi – President Kamuzu Banda’s Birthday
- 14 May – Greece – Metro strike in Athens
- 14 May – Algeria – Demonstrations in Béjaïa
- 15 May – Paraguay – Independence Day
- 15 May – Spain – San Isidro Feast Day
- 17 May – Democratic Republic of Congo – National Liberation Day
- 17 May – Malaysia – Wesak Day
- 17 May – Norway – Constitution Day
- 17 May – Uruguay – Battle of Las Piedras
- 18 May – Haiti – Flag Day / University Day
- 18 May – Somaliland – Independence Day
- 18 May – Turkmenistan – Constitution Day
- 18 May – India – Anniversary of 2007 bombing of Mecca Masjid in Hyderabad
- 19 May – Turkey – Ataturk Commemoration and Youth and Sports Day
- 19-21 May – Judaism – Shavuot begins
- 20 May – Cameroon – National Day
- 20 May – Christianity – Whit Sunday (Pentecost)
- 20 May – Timor-Leste – Independence Restoration Day
- 20 May – Venezuela – Presidential elections
- 20 May – Cambodia – Day of Remembrance
Week 18 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot
Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents
CTF 151 Seeks to Engage Non-Commercial Seafarers. Combined Task Force 151 has launched an effort to actively engage with non-commercial vessels transiting the HRA. Previous efforts have focused on countering piracy towards commercial shipping, and the new effort is aimed at filling a perceived gap in coverage. Pakistani Vessels Provide Logistical Support. Pakistani warships assigned to CTF 151 reported providing assistance to both a stranded fishing boat with a mechanical issue, and a yacht which ran out of fuel and food due to recent adverse conditions in the region.Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents
06 May 18: Attempted Boarding near Port Harcourt, Nigeria. Six persons onboard a skiff attempted to board a merchant vessel at 03°37’N, 006° 16’E. Vessel and crew reported safe.South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents
06 May 18: Attempted Boarding at Chittagong, Bangladesh. Robbers aboard a small wooden boat boarded a bulk carrier at 22°15’N 091°45’E using a rope and hook. The crew raised the alarm and robbers left the vessel empty handed. 06 May 18: Attempted Robbery at Muara Berau, Indonesia. Robbers aboard a small boat boarded a bulk carrier at 00°14’S 117°34’E. The crew raised the alarm and robbers left the vessel empty handed. 29 Apr 18: Vessel Boarded at Tanjung Berakit, Indonesia. Robbers successfully boarded a heavy lift vessel anchored at 01°25’N, 104°47’E. They broke several stores throughout the vessel, but investigation reported nothing stolen.Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 18 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 18 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.
Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 18
Headlines From This Week
- Dust Storms in India – At least 125 fatalities have been reported after dust storms hit northern India, notably Uttar Pradesh and Rajasthan. High-speed winds and lightning have brought down buildings and led to dozens of injuries. Dust storms are expected to continue, and the death toll is predicted to rise.
- Terror Attack in Tripoli – On 02 May, Islamic State militants attacked Libya’s electoral commission headquarters in Tripoli. At least 12 people have been confirmed dead as gunmen and suicide bombers attacked while officials registered voters for elections that it is scheduled to be held this year.
- Dozens Dead in Boko Haram Attack – Reports suggest that 60 people were killed in a twin suicide attacks on a mosque in Mubi, Adamawa state while afternoon prayer was being held. Dozens more were injured in the Boko Haram attack. Violence by the terror group has killed around 20,000 people since 2009.
- 17 Dead in Mali Islamist Attack – At least 17 people were killed after Islamist militants attacked two villages in Menaka region, Mali on 01 May. The local affiliate of Islamic state has been blamed for the attack which targeted members of the Taureg community. This incident is a further example of Mali’s instability at this time.
- Morocco Cuts Ties with Iran – On 02 May, Morocco severed diplomatic relations with Iran after reporting evidence of their support for rebels in the disputed Western Sahara region. Morocco claims that the Iranian-backed Hezbollah militant group has provided training and financial support to Polisario Front independence fighters. This is further evidence of the battle lines being drawn in Middle East and North Africa.
- Terror Attacks in Afghanistan – Jihadists launched a series of deadly attacks across the country after the Afghan Taliban announced its annual spring offensive. On 30 April, a coordinated double suicide bombing killed at least 25 people, ten of whom were journalists. The initial suicide bombing near the NATO headquarters and US Embassy was followed 20 minutes later as another attack targeted first responders. Dozens of other terror incidents have occurred across the country this week.
- Evacuations in Hawaii – Mandatory evacuations have been issued in areas of the island of Hawaii after Kilauea volcano erupted, spewing lava into a residential area on 03 May. At present 1,700 people of Leilani Estates are affected by the evacuation order but this may increase depending on the activity of the volcano which is unpredictable at this time, according to officials. More than 6300 hectares have been closed off to the public due to volcanic activity.
What To Look Out For Next Week
- Malaysia General Election – Malaysians are set to go to the polls to elect a new parliament on 09 May. The 2013 vote was met with cases of violence, including an improvised explosive device at a rally for the ruling party. Opposition parties also criticised the fairness of the election claiming that the ruling party enjoyed an unfair advantage, with opposition rallies disrupted and internet speeds slowed down for those critical of the government.
- Giro d’Italia Begins – The annual tour of Italy begins on 04 May. The first stage takes place in Jerusalem with two further race days in Israel before the race reaches Italy on 08 May. The final stage takes place in Rome on 27 May. Travel disruption should be expected during this period.
- Lebanon Legislative Elections – Elections are set to occur on 06 May after years of delays. The political system has historically been unstable, and this looks set to continue. Prime Minister Saad Hariri recently resigned before retracting his resignation. Religious and ethnic traditions influence the political system. There is the potential for unrest or terror incidents, especially given regional tensions and active terror groups.
- Iraq Elections – Parliamentary elections are due to be held on 12 May 2018. The vote is being held against the backdrop of a defeat of Islamic State in Iraq. However, ethnic strife, criminality, and terrorism continue to blight the country’s security profile. It is also unclear what involvement Iraqi Kurdistan, which voted for independence in late 2017, will have in the election. In 2014, as members of the security forces voted, six polling stations were hit by suicide bombers with at least 27 deaths recorded. Violent unrest and terror attacks are highly likely in the election period.
- Anti-Macron Protests – On 05 May, protesters will take to the streets of Paris and Lyon to voice opposition to President Macron and the French government. In Paris, demonstrators are expected to rally from 1200hrs at Place de l’Opéra, before marching to Place de la Bastille. Protesters in Lyon will gather at 1400hrs at Place des Terreau. Security is set to stepped up as violence occurred at 01 May protests and 109 people were arrested. Macron has so far been reluctant to make any concessions to continuing protesters.
- Unrest to Continue in Israel – Yom Yerushalayim or Jerusalem Day on 12-13 May is an Israeli national holiday which celebrates the establishment of Israeli control over the city after the June 1967 Six-Day War. This celebration, with the planned opening of the US Embassy in Jerusalem on 14 May, means that violent unrest is set to continue.
Significant Dates and Events
- 04-20 May – Denmark – World Ice Hockey Championships
- 05 May – Ethiopia – Patriots’ Victory Day
- 05 May – Israel – Anti-government protests in Tel Aviv
- 05 May – Peru – Anti-abortion rally to be held in Lima
- 05 May – Ireland – Pro-Palestinian rally planned in Dublin
- 05 May – Guyana – Arrival Day
- 05 May – United Kingdom – Pro-independence rally in Glasgow
- 05 May – Kazakhstan – Constitution Day
- 05 May – United States – Kentucky Derby
- 05 May – Japan – Constitution Memorial Day and Children’s Day
- 05 May – Kyrgyzstan – Constitution Day
- 05 May – Mexico – Cinco de Mayo (Victory Over French, 1867)
- 05 May – Spain – Nationwide protests over pension reform
- 05-07 May – France – Transport strikes affecting Marseille Province Airport
- 06 May – Russia – Left Front activists to rally in Moscow
- 06 May – Canada – Toronto Marathon
- 06 May – Bulgaria – George’s Day
- 06 May – Tunisia – Municipal Elections
- 06 May – Thailand – Environmental activists to protest in Chiang Mai
- 06 May – United States – Anti-National Rifle Association rally in Dallas, Texas
- 07 May – Kazakhstan – Defender of the Fatherland Day
- 08 May – Georgia – St Andrew’s Day
- 08 May – Turkmenistan – National Heroes Commemoration Day
- 08 May – Italy – National air traffic control strike
- 08-09 May – Various – Victory in Europe Day
- 08-19 May – France – Cannes Film Festival
- 09 May – Kosovo – Europe Day
- 09 May – Uzbekistan – Day of Remembrance of the Victims of Political Repressions
- 10 May – Various – Christian festival of the Ascension
- 11-13 May – Spain – Formula One weekend in Barcelona
- 12 May – Timor-Leste – General election
Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 17
Headlines From This Week
- Ramming Attack in Toronto – On 23 April, a lone individual killed ten people, and left a further 15 wounded, when he crashed a hired van through pedestrians in Toronto. A disproportionate number of victims were female. The attacker had an extensive history of mental health and learning difficulties, in addition to a discharge from the Canadian army 16 days into training. Present evidence suggests that the attacker was self-radicalised based on active participation in a range of alternative and misogynistic online communities.
- Nicaraguan Protests – Anti-government protests, triggered by proposed changes to social security measures, expanded and widened even after the government submitted to initial demands. Tens of thousands continued to protest daily in Managua, now apparently focused on breaking President Ortega’s 30-year monopoly on power. Violence occurred frequently as pro-government counter protesters and police sought to quell the unrest, and residents near the protests sought to defend their properties. Unrest is highly likely to continue.
- Kenya Flood Risk – Severe rains in western Kenya have led to widespread flooding, forcing approximately 200,000 people to evacuate their homes. Key highways have been submerged, hindering emergency responses. Numerous landslides have been reported. The rainfall was sufficient that two dams near Mount Kenya, the Masinga and Kamburu, are at risk of failure. Significant populations down-river from them have been advised to evacuate to high ground.
- Madagascar Protests – Madagascar has seen a series of opposition-led protests against the Government’s attempt to implement new electoral laws which are likely to bar a number of candidates from the upcoming presidential election. At present, opposition leaders remain steadfast in their refusal to re-enter negotiations and the government has relied on security forces to disperse protests. At least two people have been killed, and tear gas has frequently been employed to scatter crowds.
- Greek Ultranationalists beat Migrants – Supporters of Greek far-right political groups clashed with a crowd of migrants in the main square of Mytilene on Lesbos overnight on 20 April. The migrants had been peacefully protesting the poor living standards in official government-run refugee camps, and persistent delays in the processing of asylum claims. Over 30 people were hospitalised following the clash, which involved thrown bricks and flares; and police detained over 120 people before evacuating the migrants back to an official camp.
- Leaders of North and South Korea Met in South Korea – President Kim became the first North Korean leader since the war to cross the Demarcation line into South Korea during a diplomatic meeting with the South’s President Moon. The meeting, on 27 April, resulted in a declaration that the two states would seek complete denuclearisation of the Korean Peninsula and a phased reduction in conventional arms. North Korea has routinely discarded earlier treaties; this meeting goes toward setting the stage for the meeting between Kim and US President Trump before the end of June 2018.
What To Look Out For Next Week
- Mayday or Labour Day – Known by several names, depending on region, most Western and former-Soviet states hold a public holiday in early May. The specific date of the celebration may vary from country to country, however travellers should expect disruption to travel caused by rallies, parades, or protests which typically accompany the celebrations. The date’s affiliation with labour movements in many countries may lead to strike action or industrial disputes around these dates. Monitoring of local media is recommended in order to minimise disruption.
- Rallies for former President in Seoul – Supporters of the ousted South Korean President Park are due to hold rallies in Seoul on 28 April. These rallies are likely to be extensive as Park’s conservative party also directly opposes the foreign policy priorities of the governing Democratic Party, which have come to a head with the recent face-to-face meetings with the North Korean Leader, Kim Jong-Un, and South Korean President Moon. Previous protests by the Conservative Party resulted in thousands of protesters obstructing the streets of Seoul and a series of violent clashes with riot police which left at least one person dead, and many in hospital.
- Saleh al-Sammad’s Funeral in Sanaa – The funeral of Saleh al-Sammad, the leader of the Houthi rebel’s Political Council, is due to be held in Sanaa, Yemen’s capital, which is presently under rebel control. The Houthi group have previously been known to launch rocket, drone, and mortar attacks against Saudi assets in response to attacks on their territory or personnel. The killing of such a prominent figure in their organisation by a Saudi airstrike is likely to elicit a similar response. Saudi-flagged vessels in the Red Sea, or major cities in Saudi Arabia may be directly targeted with missiles during or immediately after the funeral.
- Indian National Congress Rally in New Delhi – The Indian National Congress (INC) opposition party has scheduled a national rally in New Delhi’s Ramlila Maidan. The INC is affiliated with a wide number of trade and labour groups, which it intends to leverage to create maximum attendance at the rally. The chosen venue has a capacity of approximately 100,000 people, however estimates of crowd size range from 30,000 to 60,000. Significant travel disruption in the immediate area of the rally should be expected. Although the INC has no intention of inciting violence, increasingly polarised national politics means that isolated clashes with counter protesters are probable.
- More Protests Likely in Armenia – Talks between the Armenian government and the de-facto leader of the recent protest broke down when the acting prime minister allegedly refused to meet directly with the opposition leader. The Armenian Parliament is due to select its new Prime Minister on 01 May through an internal ballot; opposition leaders have renounced this in favour of a new general election, provided it were certified as free of the voting discrepancies reported in previous polls. Earlier protests saw small numbers of troops joining the demonstrators, however as the protests continue, there remains a realistic probability that violent clashes may occur.
Significant Dates and Events
- 27 April to 08 May – Thailand – Disruption at Phuket Airport due to maintenance work
- 28 April – Afghanistan – Mujahideen Victory Day
- 28 April – Ukraine – Memorial marches to the World War Two-era “Galica” division planned in Lviv
- 28 April – Gabon – Legislative Elections
- 28 April – Barbados – National Heroes Day
- 28 April – Italy – Sardinia’s Day
- 29 April – Japan – Showa Day
- 30 April – Mexico – Teachers to commence a 72 hour strike and protest action
- 30 April – Sri Lanka – Vesak Full Moon Poya Holiday
- 30 April – Vietnam – Reunification Day
- 01 May – Various – Mayday or Labour Day, frequently a public holiday
- 01 May – Marshall Islands – Constitution Day
- 01 May – Poland – National airline workers due to strike
- 01 May – Denmark – Anti-fascist groups to rally in Copenhagen
- 01 May – Greece – Trade unions to rally in Athens
- 01 May – Bangladesh – BNP trade union affiliates to rally in Dhaka
- 02 May – Iran – Imam Mahdi’s birthday, national holiday
- 02 May – Bangladesh & India – Shab e-Barat
- 03 May – Poland – Constitution Day
- 03 May – Japan – Constitution Memorial Day
- 03 May – Cambodia – Royal Ploughing Ceremony, national holiday
- 04 May – Japan – Greenery Day, national holiday.
- 04 May – Latvia – Declaration of Independence Day
- 04 May – Namibia – Cassinga Day
- 04-20 May – Denmark – World Ice Hockey Championships
- 05 May – Ethiopia – Patriots’ Victory Day
- 05 May – Guyana – Arrival Day
- 05 May – Kazakhstan – Constitution Day
- 05 May – USA – Kentucky Derby
- 05 May – Czechia – March planned in Prague supporting Marijuana legalisation
- 06 May – Russia – Left Front activists to rally in Moscow
- 06 May – Canada – Toronto Marathon
Weeks 15 & 16 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot
Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents
Apr-May 18: Coalition Preparing Operations Against Al-Hudaydah. Yemeni government forces, supported by the Saudi-led Gulf coalition appear to be preparing for a direct offensive against the Houthi-held port of Al Hudaydah. Previous operations in the area have been countered by attacks against Saudi shipping by shore-based missile systems, and waterborne IEDs. It is highly likely that future offensives will see a similar response.Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents
21 Apr 18: Vessel Boarded off Bonny Island, Nigeria. Preliminary reports suggest a merchant vessel was attacked and boarded at 03°33’N 007°02’E, approximately 40nm south of Bonny Island.South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents
18 Apr 18: Robbery At Anchor in Samarinda Indonesia. A vessel anchored at 00°15’S 117°38’E discovered the forecastle store had been broken into. Robbers were believed to have boarded via the anchor chain. 17 Apr 18: Attempted Theft at Anchor in Chittagong, Bangladesh. Six robbers attempted to board a vessel at 22°11’N 091°42’E. One crew member was threatened with a knife before the alarm was raised and the attackers fled. 12 Apr 18: Theft at Anchor in Chittagong, Bangladesh. Robbers boarded a vessel at 22°13’N 091°45’E, assaulted the vessel’s watchkeeper, and fled with ship’s stores. 05 Apr 18: Suspicious Approach against Sailing Vessel, South China Sea. A small vessel containing two men approached a 14m catamaran at speed to within 200m at 17°16’N 111°16’E. The catamaran issued a Mayday and was responded to by a cruise liner. The suspect vessel moved away.Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 15 & 16 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 15 & 16 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.
Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 16
Headlines From This Week
- US Attacks Syrian Government Targets – On 14 April 2018, the United States, with the support of France and the United Kingdom, launched a missile attack on Syrian government targets. The attack was ostensibly in response to a chemical attack on civilians in Douma, east of Damascus, believed to have been conducted by the Syrian government. This attack is likely to have significant implications for global and regional relations, further damaging the relationship between the West and Russia.
- Protests in Armenia – Protests broke out on 13 April in Yerevan, Armenia’s capital, in response to parliament’s decision to appoint former President Serzh Sargysan as prime minister. Due to significant constitutional reform in 2015, the position of prime minister has become more significant than the presidency. Thousands have taken to the streets and dozens have required hospitalisation. Further protests are planned.
- Pompeo Visits Kim Jong-un – It was revealed this week that President Trump’s nominee to take over as Secretary of State, Mike Pompeo, visited Kim Jong-un in North Korea to lay the groundwork for a summit between the US and North Korea. According to South Korea’s President Moon, Kim has dropped his longstanding demand for US forces to be removed from the Peninsula in exchange for denuclearisation.
- Labour Unrest in France – Unions have continued their disruptive protests in France in opposition to planned reforms by President Macron. Scuffles were reported in a number of locations but largely remained non-violent. Dates for further four-day strikes by railway workers from April to June have been released. Attendance at this week’s rallies were down compared to previous stoppages in April.
- Deadly Attack in Timbuktu – 15 Islamist militants were killed after attacking a United Nations military base in Timbuktu, Mali. The attack, on 14 April, led to the death of one UN peacekeeper with seven others wounded as well as two civilians. The attackers reportedly infiltrated the base dressed in UN uniforms.
- President Erdogan Calls Snap Polls – Turkey’s next general election has been moved forward by around 18 months after Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan announced snap elections on 18 April. The next general election will take place on 24 June. The elections will be the first since a referendum in 2017 gave the presidency new, sweeping powers. Turkey is still in a state of emergency which was implemented in July 2016 in response to a failed military coup.
What To Look Out For Next Week
- Anzac Day – Anzac Day 2018 will be observed on 25 April and marks the contribution of servicemen and women from Australia and New Zealand. The national day of remembrance is also observed in the Cook Islands, Niue, Pitcairn Islands, and Tonga. Commemorative events are also set to take place in Gallipoli in Turkey and Villers-Bretonneux in France. Travellers should expect enhanced security measures around these events.
- Earth Day 2018 – 2018’s Earth Day is set to take place on 22 April 2018. Rallies will be held across the globe, for the 48th anniversary of the event, with organisers predicting as many as one billion people could be involved in events in more than 192 countries and territories. The largest events are set to take place in the United States. For more, see https://www.earthday.org/ or social media sites.
- Elections in Paraguay – Paraguayans are due to elect a new president, legislature, and local representatives on 22 April 2018. Incumbent President Horacio Cartes has announced he will not run again. Previously, there has been known to be political violence conducted against members of the press and political opponents, due to a close relationship between politicians and organised crime. Observers judged the 2013 election to be fair.
- Hitler’s Birthday – 20 April 2018 marks Adolf Hitler’s birthday. This day is often commemorated by far-right, Neo-Nazi marches around the world. A notable rally is set to take place in the town of Newnan in Georgia, USA on 20 to 21 April. This rally is expected to be greeted by a substantial security provision and counter rallies, with significant potential for violence. Another Neo-Nazi event is taking place in Ostritz in Germany. Similar conditions should be expected at both events.
- Unrest in Togo Continues – Opposition groups have called for further protests in Togo between 23 and 27 April. Among other things, protesters are demanding a return to the 1992 constitution. Dates and locations of protests have not been released. Reports suggest that in the 11-14 April wave of protests, one person was killed and 174 more were wounded. Expect heightened security measures in Lomé especially.
- National Assembly Elections in Gabon – The members of Gabon’s National Assembly are due to be elected on 28 April. Elections were previously planned for December 2016 and July 2017 but were postponed due to a lack of funds, and to further enable political dialogue. After the presidential elections in August 2016, widespread protests occurred. Supporters of opposition leader, Jean Ping, clashed with police believing that they had achieved victory. At least five people were killed and more than 1,000 arrested. During the unrest, authorities blocked the internet in Libreville. Further unrest is likely around this election.
Significant Dates and Events
- 21 April – Brazil – Tiradentes Day
- 21 April – Spain – Copa del Rey Football Final in Madrid
- 21 April – Ghana – Anti-US protest planned in Tamale
- 21 April – Hungary – Anti-government protest in Budapest
- 21 April – Israel – Anti-corruption march in Tel Aviv
- 21 April – New Zealand – Nurses to rally in Palmerston
- 21 April – Madagascar – Opposition protest to be held in Antananarivo
- 22 to 27 April – Senegal – Saint Louis International Jazz Festival
- 22 April – United Kingdom – London Marathon
- 22 April – Chile – Nationwide No + AFP marches
- 23 April – United Kingdom – St George’s Day (England)
- 23 April – Spain – Castile and León Community Day
- 23 April – Turkey – National Sovereignty and Children’s Day
- 23 April – Namibia – Taxi drivers in Windhoek plan to strike
- 23 April – India – DMK activists to rally across Tamil Nadu
- 24 April – Armenia – Genocide Memorial Day
- 24 April – Niger – Concord Day
- 25 April – Costa Rica – Union leaders plan general strike
- 25 April – Italy – Liberation Day
- 25 April – Egypt – Sinai Liberation Day
- 25 April – North Korea – Military Foundation Day
- 25 April – Portugal – Freedom Day
- 26 April – Tanzania – Union Day
- 27 April – Denmark – General Prayer Day
- 27 April – Netherlands – King’s Birthday
- 27 April – Slovenia – Resistance Day
- 27 April – South Africa – Freedom Day
- 27 April – Togo – Independence Day
- 27 April – Finland – National Veteran’s Day
- 27 April – Sierra Leone – Independence Day
- 27 to 29 April – Azerbaijan – Formula one race weekend (road closures to occur in Baku)
- 27 April to 08 May – Thailand – Disruption at Phuket Airport due to maintenance work
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Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 15
Headlines From This Week
- Tensions Rise in Syria – International rhetoric on planned actions in Syria have heated up this week after a suspected chemical attack by the Syrian government on the city of Duma on 07 April; at least 40 fatalities were reported as a result of the attack. The US (and its allies) have vowed to respond to the chemical attack as it did in 2017. Russia, Syria’s closest ally, has warned that any US attack on Syria could lead to open conflict between the two countries. Airlines are avoiding Syrian airspace due to the fears of a missile strike by the US.
- UN Mission Clashes in Bangui – The UN peacekeeping mission to the Central African Republic were involved in a series of clashes in the capital Bangui this week. UN forces were conducting operations in PK5, a Muslim area of the predominantly Christian city, when clashes occurred. One Rwandan UN soldier was killed, and eight others were wounded. Nine people in PK5 were killed. This led to hundreds of protesters outside the UN headquarters in the city, where they also laid the bodies of those killed.
- Nawaz Sharif Given Lifetime Political Ban – Former Prime Minister of Pakistan, Nawaz Sharif, has been disqualified from holding public office in the country for life. Sharif was dismissed from office last year over corruption allegations. He had hoped to make a political comeback in time for the general elections in July.
- Police Officers Killed in Antioquia, Colombia – Eight police officers were killed after an explosives attack in the village of El Tomate, San Pedro de Uraba, Antioquia Department. No group has claimed responsibility, but the most likely culprits are the Gulf Clan, a criminal drug gang who are active in the region. The group act as a paramilitary force in many places and appear to have benefited from the security vacuum left behind from the disbanding of the FARC rebel group.
- Tropical Cyclone Keni Hits Fiji – Fiji has been struck by a second tropical cyclone in just over a week. Kaduva has borne the brunt of most of the damage, with winds wiping out homes, uprooting trees, and capsizing boats. At the height of the storm, more than 6,000 people sheltered into evacuation centres. No fatalities were reported. Keni is now heading south but is unlikely to make landfall on New Zealand.
- Security Situations in Germany – Security forces thwarted an attempted attack at the Berlin half-marathon on 08 April 2018. Six people were detained over plans to attack runners with knives after German authorities were given a tip-off from a foreign intelligence service. The arrests came just a day after what transpired to be a non-terror vehicle ramming attack in Münster which killed two people and injured at least 20 more.
What To Look Out For Next Week
- Yom Ha’atzmaut – Israel will celebrate its Independence Day or Yom Ha’atzmaut on 19 April. Travellers can expect travel disruption in Israel and in other locations with significant Jewish populations. Palestinian activists have vowed to protest the day. Violent clashes have been ongoing on the Gaza-Israel border since 30 March 2018. Reports suggest that there have been at least 34 Palestinian deaths and 3,000 injuries during this period.
- Referendum in Guatemala – On 15 April, Guatemalans will be given the opportunity to vote in a referendum on whether the government should request the International Court of Justice finally resolve the territorial dispute between itself and Belize. It is possible that this vote could lead to some disruption in Guatemala, but unrest is unlikely to be aimed at the government. There is also potential for clashes on the Guatemala-Belize border.
- Handover of Power in Cuba – For the first time since before 1959, the Caribbean island of Cuba is set to be led by a non-Castro as Raul Castro stands down as president on 19 April. While his successor is not assured, it is expected to be the 57-year-old Vice-President Miguel Diaz-Canel. It is as yet unclear how the change of leadership will impact Cuba’s economic policies or the future of Havana-Washington relations.
- Arab League Summit in Riyadh – The 2018 Arab League Summit is due to be held in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia on 15 April. The Summit was delayed from March after it clashed with the Egyptian presidential elections. The issue of Palestine is set to be high on the agenda, while ongoing relations with Qatar are not. Travellers in the Saudi capital can expect high levels of security as regional leaders head to the city.
- Funeral Service for Winne Mandela – Winnie Mandela, the ex-wife of Nelson Mandela, is due to be buried on 14 April at Fourways Memorial Park in Craigavon, Johannesburg. There are planned road closures in place for the funeral procession of the former civil rights leader from 1230 until 1430. Reports suggest that there may be protests en route by residents unhappy with a stalled development plan.
- Isra and Mi’raj 2018 – Known as the Prophet’s Ascension, this Islamic festival is celebrated in a series of Muslim-majority countries between 13 and 15 April. The event is likely to cause travel and business disruptions in these locations, including the closure of government offices.
- Anniversary of the Eldorado dos Carajas Massacre – 17 April marks the anniversary of the Eldorado dos Carajas Massacre. On this day in 1996, 19 farmers were killed by military police in Pará state, after they invaded a private ranch. The anniversary often leads to violent protests; large gatherings around this date should be avoided.
Significant Dates and Events
- 14 April – United Kingdom – Grand National Horse Racing at Aintree
- 14 April – Israel – Anti-corruption rally in Tel Aviv
- 14-16 April – Pakistan – Nurses to strike in Peshawar
- 14 April – Germany – Far-right rally planned in Cologne
- 14 April – Italy – Formula E event in Rome
- 14 April – Honduras – Pan America Day
- 15 April – Slovakia – Protests in Humenne and Bratislava
- 15 April – North Korea – Celebration of Kim Il Sung’s birthday
- 15 April – Montenegro – Presidential elections
- 15 April – Uruguay – Montevideo marathon
- 16 April – United Kingdom – Commonwealth Head of State meeting in London
- 16 April – Puerto Rico – Jose de Diego’s birthday
- 16 April – United States – Boston Marathon
- 16 April – Moldova – Memorial/Parents’ Day
- 16-17 April – Portugal – Train staff to strike
- 17 April – American Samoa – Flag Day
- 17 April – Syria – Evacuation Day (Syrian national day)
- 17 April – Pakistan – Tribal leaders to rally in Islamabad
- 17 April – Venezuela – Healthcare workers to strike
- 17 April – Belarus – Radonista (Commemoration Day)
- 17 April – Gabon – Women’s Day
- 17 April – Iraq – Food and Agriculture Day
- 18 April – Zimbabwe – Independence Day
- 19 April – Nepal – Bisket Jartra Festival (New Year)
- 19 April – Venezuela – Independence Declaration Day
- 20 April – United Kingdom – Docklands Light Railway staff to strike
- 21 April – United States – Neo-Nazi group to rally in Newnan, Georgia
- 21 April – Brazil – Tiradentes Day
- 22 April – Paraguay – Presidential, legislative, and local elections
- 23 April – United Kingdom – St George’s Day (England)
Week 14 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot
Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents
03 Apr 18: Houthi Rebel Missile Attack on Saudi Tanker. A Saudi tanker transiting near Al Hudaydah was struck by Yemen’s Houthi rebels using a missile launched from a land-based site near Al Hudaydah. No casualties were reported and the vessel remained seaworthy. The tanker was under escort by a Saudi warship at the time of the attack. There is no indication of Houthi intent to target non-Saudi shipping.Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents
07 Apr 18: Vessel Boarded near Bonny, Nigeria. Four armed pirates boarded an underway merchant vessel at 03°37’N 007°07’E. The crew mustered in the citadel and were reported safe. 03 Apr 18: Vessel Fired Upon near Bonny, Nigeria. Up to 12 armed pirates aboard a speedboat chased and fired upon a product tanker at 03°29’N 006°36’E. Onboard armed security and the tanker’s evasive manoeuvres prevented boarding. All crew reported safe. 01 Apr 18: Vessel Approached near Takoradi, Ghana. A container ship was approached by two small boats, carrying up to nine people, at 04°31’N 001°21’E. The small boats ceased pursuit following the container ship’s evasive actions.South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents
04 Apr 18: Theft at Anchor in Muara Berau Anchorage, Indonesia. Robbers boarded a vessel at 00°15’S 117°34’E, broke into the forepeak store, and escaped with ship’s stores. The crew noted a suspicious vessel in the vicinity and raised the alarm before discovering the theft.Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 14 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 14 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.
Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 14
Headlines From This Week
- YouTube Shooting – On Tuesday 03 April, Nasim Aghdam opened fire with a handgun at the headquarters of YouTube in San Francisco, wounding three people before killing herself. Nasim was a content-creator who had become distressed with YouTube after a change on the website allegedly reduced the views of her content and negatively impacted her income. The three people she wounded in the attack were not previously known to her and appear to have been selected at random.
- Boko Haram Attacked Maiduguri – Insurgents belonging to the Islamic State affiliate Boko Haram launched an attack against the Nigerian city of Maiduguri in Borno State. The attack resulted in the deaths of at least 18 people, with over 80 suffering serious injuries. The attack was focussed on Nigerian security forces situated around the city’s perimeter, however most of the casualties inflicted through the hour-long battle were civilians. The Nigerian government is reportedly seeking to engage in peace talks with Boko Haram.
- Tropical Cyclone Josie – Fiji was struck by the category one cyclone last weekend, resulting in at least four fatalities as extreme winds and rain battered the pacific nation. Infrastructure damage remained relatively limited, however disruption to travel and service provision can be expected across the island over the next few weeks. Although the storm has been downgraded, potentially dangerous winds remain forecast.
- Talks Advance in Korea – A spate of diplomatic activity on the Korean peninsula has led to widespread statements of support from powers allied to both North and South. China in particular has expressed hope that the upcoming talks between the USA, South and North Korea will make concrete progress towards deescalating tensions on the peninsula.
- Road Obstructions in Albania – Albania has seen widespread protests obstructing highways in response to the installation of a new toll road connecting Albania and Kosovo but routed through a relatively deprived area of the country. The protests led to significant delays to road travel and instances of vandalism, with several toll-booths smashed and set alight. No casualties were officially reported, however dozens were detained.
- Former Brazilian President Imprisoned – Luis da Silva was handed a custodial sentence as a result of a wide-ranging and ongoing anti-corruption investigation. Supporters of ‘Lula’ maintain that the charges are politically motivated, with the intention of preventing the highly popular politician from running for re-election as president. His defence team intend to continue to appeal the sentence, and there remains a realistic probability that the court’s decision will lead to continued civil unrest.
What To Look Out For Next Week
- Songkran Festival – The Thai New Year’s festival is held between 13-15 April and marks the beginning of the Thai solar year. Songkran is the longest national holiday in Thailand, and as such locals often capitalise on the opportunity to travel home for extended family gatherings. Major travel services will continue to function, but travellers should expect them to be significantly busier than normal. Hotels and other accommodation are also likely to be uncharacteristically busy; travellers should ensure all accommodation and travel is booked and confirmed before arrival in Thailand over this period.
- Summit of the Americas – Peru is to host the eighth Summit of the Americas in Lima over 13-14 April. The summit is highly likely to result in enhanced security measures throughout the city in the lead up to, and during, the summit. National leaders or senior government representatives of most American states are scheduled to attend, although the Peruvian government has continued to bar access for Venezuela’s President Maduro. Ongoing unrest and oppression in Venezuela is likely to be a key topic at the summit as the large numbers of refugees and migrants fleeing the country are heavily impacting its neighbours.
- Hungarian Parliamentary Elections – On 08 April, Hungarians will go to the polls to elect 199 members of the National Assembly. The election campaign has been driven by divisive campaigning, with the incumbent Prime Minister, Viktor Orban, using Euroscepticism, xenophobia, and openly illiberal policy positions as prominent features of his campaign. Concerns relating to the 2016 migration crisis remain prominent in Hungary’s national consciousness, and observers suggest that there is an increasing political void between the urban and rural elements of the population. Travellers should expect protests and rallies in the lead up to, and following the election, with a realistic possibility of outbreaks of violence.
- Azerbaijani Presidential Elections – The first of two potential rounds of the Azerbaijani presidential election is scheduled for 11 April, with eight candidates campaigning to hold the office for seven years. If no candidate wins more than 50 per cent of the vote in the first poll, the top two candidates will face each other in a run-off, the date for which has not been announced. The vote was constitutionally scheduled for October 2018, however the President issued a decree on 05 February to advance the poll to April and avoid clashing with “important domestic and international events”. Local political analysts suggest that the new date has been selected to deny opposition candidates appropriate time to prepare; and due to internal pressures within the ruling party, which pose a threat of rupturing the President’s support base before an October election.
Significant Dates and Events
- 07 April – Judaism – Last night of Passover
- 07 April – Israel – Anti-corruption protest scheduled in Tel Aviv
- 07 April – Kyrgyzstan – Day of the People’s April Revolution
- 07 April – Rwanda – Genocide against the Tutsi Memorial Day
- 07 April – Serbia – Far-right group to march on Belgrade
- 07 April – Fiji – FTUC protest march in Suva
- 07 April – Hong Kong – Pro-democracy protest in Civic Square
- 07-10 April – France – Rail workers to strike
- 08 April – Various – Orthodox Easter Sunday
- 08 April – Niger – Nationwide opposition protests to be held
- 08 April – Norway – Private sector transport workers to commence strike action
- 08-09 April – Hungary – Election rallies planned around Budapest
- 09 April – Spain – Unionbus workers to strike
- 09 April – Egypt – Sham El Nessim
- 09 April – Georgia – Day of National Unity
- 09 April – Kosovo – Constitution Day
- 09 April – Philippines – The Day of Valour
- 10 April – Greece – UberX service to cease
- 10-13 April – Chile – Lan Express flights cancelled due to strike action
- 11 April – Australia – Animal rights protesters due to demonstrate outside Parliament House, Sydney
- 11-14 April – Togo – Opposition protests scheduled throughout Lome
- 11-14 April – South Africa – State funeral for Winnie Mandela likely to cause disruption in Soweto
- 12-13 April – Italy – 48-hour strike to be held by public nursing staff
- 13 April – China – Shanghai Formula 1 race
- 15 April – North Korea – Celebration of Kim Il Sung’s birthday
- 16 April – UK – Commonwealth Head of State meeting in London
- 16-17 April – Portugal – Train staff to strike
- 20 April – UK – Docklands Light Railway staff to strike
Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 13
Headlines From This Week
- Attempted Terror Attack in Grenoble – One man was detained in Grenoble by French Police after attempting to conduct a vehicle-ramming attack against soldiers jogging near their base in Varces-Allieres-et-Risset. Eyewitness reports suggested that the attacker shouted at the troops in Arabic before his attempted attack. There are also suggestions that the vehicle was fitted with fake number plates, indicative that the attack had been pre-planned.
- Civil Unrest in Catalonia – Supporters of Catalan independence have clashed with Spanish police repeatedly throughout the week, following the arrest of separatist leader, Charles Puigdemont’s, arrest in Germany on 25 March. Instances of violence were reported, with approximately 100 people requiring medical attention as a result of the unrest.
- Alexandria Bombing – An improvised explosive device was detonated in Alexandria, near the Tolip hotel. The attack appears to have targeted a senior member of the security forces who was travelling nearby. Post incident, Egyptian security forces reportedly located an armed cell of Muslim Brotherhood members, believed to be responsible for the attack, six of which were killed resisting arrest.
- 24 Injured at Pakistani Spring Festival – An unidentified attacker threw a hand grenade into a crowd of revellers at a spring festival in Dera Ismail Khan. At least 24 people were injured during the attack, including two members of the paramilitary Frontier Corps, who may have been the primary targets. The identity of the attacker remains unclear.
- Fatal Mud Slides in Indonesia – The provinces of North Sumatra, West Sulawesi, and East Kalimantan have suffered extensive rainfall, resulting in widespread flooding and mudslides. At least 12,000 people were forced to leave their homes, and a number of fatalities were reported. Emergency centres have been established to house the refugees.
- Insurgent groups clash in Colombia – Members of the Ejercito Popular de Liberacion and Ejercito de Liberacion Nacional clashed with each other, and security forces throughout Colombia. This occurred despite persistent and ongoing talks between the government and the ELN to establish the basis of a long-term ceasefire. Insurgent groups within Colombia retain close links to armed criminal groups and appear to take advantage of unrest in neighbouring Venezuela in order to provide them a safe haven.
What To Look Out For Next Week
- Former President Zuma Due in Court – The former president of South Africa, Jacob Zuma, has been officially charged with 16 counts of corruption in relation to an arms deal he conducted in the 1990s. He is likely to seek to have the charges thrown out before trial, however his first court date has been set for 06 April. Protests by his supporters are a realistic possibility, particularly near government buildings, the courthouse hosting the hearing, or near local offices of the African National Congress (ANC) party.
- Christian Festival of Easter – Travellers in Christian majority countries can expect some travel disruption between 29 March and 02 April as the Christian festival of Easter is celebrated. Travellers should plan ahead during this period and expect delays on roads and engineering works on key infrastructure including rail lines. In addition, shops and services are likely to operate with reduced hours and lower staffing.
- Public State Workers to Strike in Buenos Aires – On 05 April, state workers are due to conduct industrial action in an effort to secure better wages and prevent threatened mass layoffs and forced retirements. The unions coordinating the proposed strike represent employees from the state healthcare provider, the judiciary, and education. Travellers should be aware that availability of basic services are likely to be impaired throughout the duration of the strike.
- Human Rights Rally in Dhaka – Bangladeshi human rights groups are seeking to conduct a rally in the capital, Dhaka, on 06 April. Protests in Bangladesh often entail violent clashes between demonstrators and security forces, and travellers are strongly advised to avoid any large crowds, or political events.
- Anti-Corruption Rally in Bratislava – Slovak anti-corruption campaigners are due to hold a rally in Bratislava’s SMP Square on 05 April as part of the continued public effort to seek justice for Jan Kuciak, a journalist murdered following his exposure of corrupt practices in Slovak government and business. Previous protests have drawn upwards of 50,000 participants, although no instances of violence were reported.
- Yekaterinburg Opposition Rally – Local opposition supporters are due to rally in Yekaterinburg’s Oborony Square on 02 April. They intend to protest the local governor’s decision to abolish mayoral elections. Protests in Russia are frequently countered by aggressive suppressive tactics by local security forces. Travellers should make efforts to avoid the area and expect a heightened security presence.
Significant Dates and Events
- 30 March – Islam – Birthday of Ali Ibn Abi Talib, important to Shia Muslims
- 30 March – Christianity – Good Friday, often a public holiday in historically Christian countries
- 30-31 March – Judaism – The night between 30-31 March marks the first night of Passover
- 30-31 March – South Africa – Two Oceans Marathon, Cape Town
- 31 March – Malta – Freedom Day
- 31 March – Myanmar – Full Moon of Tabaung (Magha Puja)
- 31 March – Trinidad and Tobago – Spiritual Baptist Liberation Day
- 31 March – Iran – Imam Ali’s Birthday
- 31 March – Sri Lanka – Bak Full Moon Poya
- 01 April – Christianity – Easter Sunday
- 01 April – India – Odish Day, a public holiday
- 01 April – Benin – Youth Day
- 01 April – Cyprus – Greek Cypriot National Day
- 01 April – Iran – Islamic Republic Day
- 02 April – Christianity – Easter Monday, a public holiday in numerous countries
- 02 April – India – Trade Unions call for strike across Kerala state
- 02 April – Argentina – Malvinas Day
- 02 April – South Africa – Family Day
- 02 April – United States – 2018 Masters golf tournament in Augusta, Georgia
- 04 April – Angola – Peace Day
- 04 April – Senegal – Independence Day
- 06 April – China – Qingming, or Memorial Day, a public holiday shared with some neighbouring countries
- 07 April – Judaism – Last night of Passover
- 07 April – Kyrgyzstan – Day of the People’s April Revolution
- 07 April – Rwanda – Genocide against the Tutsi Memorial Day
- 08 April – Various – Orthodox Easter Sunday
- 09 April – Egypt – Sham El Nessim
- 09 April – Georgia – Day of National Unity
- 09 April – Kosovo –Constitution Day
- 09 April – Philippines – The Day of Valour