Key Trends & Hotspots
Discover The Global Risk Outlook 2025
Our annual in-depth Global Risk Outlook report offers analysis of the most pressing risks anticipated this year, providing actionable insights to inform safer travel and operational decisions.
Join the security and risk management leaders who rely on Solace Global’s expertise to ensure their organisation remains prepared and resilient in uncertain times.
Key Areas of Focus
- The Sahel and West Africa: Rising terrorist control and increasing instability in the Sahel as violence spills into West Africa, challenging regional security.
- Anti-Tourism Protests in Europe: The rapid increase of tourist arrivals in Europe after the COVID-19 pandemic has left cities struggling to cope and fed growing civil unrest.
- Hybrid Russian Warfare in Europe: After Trump’s is re-election, Europe is likely to take on a greater role in providing military aid to Ukraine. In response, Russian hybrid warfare is expected to escalate across the continent, targeting personnel and businesses involved in Ukraine’s supply chain.
- Drone Use by Non-State Actors: The proliferation of drones among non-state actors has challenged states, increasing the risks of targeted assassination and large-scale terrorist attacks.
- ISIS Resurgence in Iraq and Syria: With the US set to withdraw from Iraq and potentially Syria, the conditions may be laid for the regrouping of ISIS, which could have significant implications for both regional and global security.
- ‘CRINK’ challenges world order: The emerging alliance between China, Russia, Iran and North Korea poses a major threat to the established international hierarchy.
- Somali Piracy Resurgence: Internal instability and Houthi distraction will likely fuel a continued resurgence in piracy off the Somali coast.
- Geopolitical Space Risk: Space’s increasing role in international competition and the use of commercial technologies like Starlink by non-state actors has significant implications for security.
- Ukraine Conflict: Russian advances have accelerated in 2024 and the willingness of the US and Europe to continue supporting Kyiv is increasingly in doubt.
- AI Arms Race: The developing AI ‘arms race’ between the US and China highly likely has profound geopolitical significance, with AI promising to have enormous commercial and military importance.
- Revolution in Bangladesh: Rising instability and an unclear political future raises humanitarian threats, as well as threats to regional and global supply chains.
- Middle East Tensions: Further escalation in the ongoing conflicts in the Middle East threatens to trigger a major regional war.